The Myth of Overpopulation and Its Rhetoric on Abortion

Written By Thomas Perez. June 8, 2020 at 7:47PM. Copyright 2020.

A popular argument in favour of abortion is that the Earth is overcrowded, that current population growth is unsustainable, and that this is contributing to environmental, social and economic problems. The implication, presumably, is that if every pregnancy resulted in a birth, we would have even more people than we have at present. How do pro-lifers respond to this? Well, for starters I would like to say that there are “56 million abortions performed each year in the world.” This estimate is taken from ‘Abortion Incidences Performed From the 1990’s to the Year 2014.’ The 56 million figure is based upon the entire world. It is based upon yearly estimates from 1990 to 2014. So according to what I havd read, for the past 24yrs (up to 2014) there have been 56 million abortions for each year.

(1). Sedgh, Gilda; Bearak, Jonathan; Singh, Susheela; Bankole, Akinrinola; Popinchalk, Anna; Ganatra, Bela; Rossier, Clémentine; Gerdts, Caitlin; Tunçalp, Özge; Johnson, Brooke Ronald; Johnston, Heidi Bart; Alkema, Leontine (July 2016). “Abortion incidence between 1990 and 2014: global, regional, and subregional levels and trends.” The Lancet. 388 (10041): 258–67. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30380-4. PMC 5498988. PMID 27179755.

Using our estimate of 56 million and going back 50 years ago (to the 1970’s), and working our way up to the present, we come to the stark reality that there were about 2,280,000,000 abortions performed altogether. That is a staggering number! However, considering the variables involved throughout the years, and considering the various laws, restrictions and non-retrictions in different countries, this is a rough estimate. However, and notwithstanding, it is still a close estimate on average.  What do you call this?

Many liberal minded individuals that often cite the rhetoric of overpopulation and climate change opt to favor depopulation. Many even call it that. They will, in no uncertain terms, cite with reference to their pro-choice, pro-abortion ideologies, “Well, this is one way to economize on many central key issues today.” However, before we get caught up in their rhetoric of “Saving Polar Bears” and the ecosystem in the name of progressivism, let us be reminded of the following. According to OurWorldData…

Quote: “In 2015 around 57 million people died (that is 1 million more than our 56 million abortion estimate – T. Perez). The world population therefore increased by 84 million in that year (that is an increase of 1.14%).”

“As the number of deaths approaches the number of births global population growth will come to an end. How do we expect this to change in the coming decades? What does this mean for population growth?”

“Population projections show that the yearly number of births will remain at around 140 million per year over the coming decades. It is then expected to slowly decline in the second-half of the century. As the world population ages, the annual number of deaths is expected to continue to increase in the coming decades until it reaches a similar annual number as global births towards the end of the century.”

“As the number of births is expected to slowly fall and the number of deaths to rise the global population growth rate will continue to fall. This is when the world population will stop to increase in the future.” Unquote.

(2). https://ourworldindata.org/births-and-deaths

There are other statistical studies and observances conducted by other various sources that indicate that the death rates are even higher than projected above. According to Ziegler, “In the world, approximately 62 million people, of all causes of death combined, die each year.”

(3). Jean Ziegler, L’Empire de la honte, Fayard, 2007 ISBN 978-2-253-12115-2, p.130. Hence, 6 million more than our 56 million abortion estimate.

It is blatantly obvious that Humanities death rates supersede that of the abortion rate; with the differences between their ratios and proportion being consistent on a yearly basis. Using the rhetoric of depopulation as one of the many excuses to justify 56 million abortions is a fallacy. Overpopulation is a myth, so is the myth of life expectancy. And while it is said that, “The world population has grown rapidly, particularly over the past century: in 1900 there were fewer than 2 billion people on the planet; today there are 7.7 billion,” the death rate has increased once again; evening the odds between the two: Abortion and Natural Death Incidences; hence the numbers between 1900 and today are from one perspective; bringing into doubt the numbers quoted. In other words, having an additional 56 million individuals in this world yearly would have hardly made a dent in our climate and ecosystem from the 70’s to today. I repeat, “Overpopulation is a myth, and so is the myth of life expectancy.” History has proven this.

(2). Ibid.

According to a mainstream myth; The history of the average life span in the earliest centuries were primarily cut short due to “Unhygienic living conditions and little access to effective medical care which meant life expectancy was likely limited to about 35 years of age…life expectancy at birth, a figure dramatically influenced by infant mortality – pegged at the time as high as 30%.” According to this myth, life expectancy in the 1700’s was roughly at 35 years of age, while in the 1800’s and 1900’s it increased between 38-44 and 39-48. This is a myth. What many people do not understand is that there is a difference between lifespan and life expectancy. Other examples of this permeating myth can be found in the following quotations:

(4). https://www.verywellhealth.com/longevity-throughout-history-2224054

Livescience quotations;

“An article on Egyptian pyramid builders in the November 2001 issue of “National Geographic” noted, “Despite the availability of medical care the workers’ lives were short. On average a man lived 40 to 45 years, a woman 30 to 35.”

In a 2005 press release for the TV show “Nightline,” a producer wrote, “I am 42 years old. I live in a comfortable home with my family…. I’m lucky. If I were in Sierra Leone, the poorest country in Africa, chances are I’d be dead at my age. The life expectancy there is 34 years of age.”

“A Dec. 18, 2003, Reuters news story on the impact of AIDS in Africa reported that “A baby girl born now in Japan could expect to live 85 years, while one born in Sierra Leone probably would not survive beyond 36.”

“Such statements are completely wrong; most people in Sierra Leone are not dropping dead at age 34. The problem is that giving an “average age” at which people died tells us almost nothing about the age at which an individual person living at the time might expect to die.” “The fact is that the maximum human lifespan, a concept often confused with “life expectancy,” has remained more or less the same for thousands of years.”

The difference between lifespan and life expectancy is as follows. “While both terms relate to the number of living years, they actually define very different concepts. While the term lifespan refers to the maximum number of years an individual can live, life expectancy refers to an estimate or an average number of years a person can expect to live.”

Similarly, “…A Lifespan is the maximum number of years that a person can live (which has remained constant at 120-125 years). Life expectancy is the number of years that will probably be lived by a person born in a particular year.” However, the average length of days can be anywhere from 70 to 80. This is the consistent number, albeit with some exceptions due to further length or shortness of days.

(5). https://www-livescience-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.livescience.com/amp/10569-human-lifespans-constant-2-000-years.html?amp_js_v=a3&amp_gsa=1&usqp=mq331AQFKAGwASA%3D#aoh=15917281056646&csi=1&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.livescience.com%2F10569-human-lifespans-constant-2-000-years.html

The Biblical Psalmist; King David, wrote in Psalms 90:9-12 that “For all our days have declined in Your fury; we have finished our years like a sigh. As for the days of our life, they contain seventy years, or if due to strength, eighty years, yet their pride is but labor and sorrow; for soon it is gone and we fly away. Who understands the power of Your anger and Your fury, according to the fear that is due You? So teach us to number our days, that we may present to You a heart of wisdom.”

The sources cited refutes the idiosyncrasies of the stated opus above in the first paragraph. Statistically speaking, it actually contradicts the myth that the worlds population has grown rapidly from the 1900’s to the present. I do not accept these numbers. And “Why,” you may ask? Answer: The math doesn’t fit.

According to the UN, “The world’s population is expected to increase by 2 billion persons in the next 30 years, from 7.7 billion currently to 9.7 billion in 2050, according to a new United Nations report launched today.” “…And could peak at nearly 11 billion around 2100.” At face value these numbers seem staggering and astronomical. But when we look at these numbers with detailic observation based upon current day statistical trends, this too is a hyped misconception. While the UN article provides statistical projected outcomes for different countries along with their medical and economic capabilities, it makes no comparison or parallels between life and death rates.

(6). https://www.un.org/development/desa/en/news/population/world-population-prospects-2019.html

Just think about it. If we were to take our 57 million deaths per year and divide that sum by 52 weeks, we will come to a total of 1,076,923.07692 (that’s roughly one million seventy-six thousand nine hundred and twenty three deaths a week). When we take the UN’s first estimate at 9.7 billion people by the year 2050 and insert the death rate we are left with a lower percentage of growth by far. Hence, when we multiply 57,000,000x30yrs, it equals =1,710,000,000 – that is one billion seven hundred and ten million less people in the world in 30 years. When we subtract the UN’s 2,000,000,000 projection with the total of 1,710,000,000, we have a differential death rate at 320,000,000 (that is three hundred and twenty million deaths in 30yrs).  Moreover, if we were to take Ziegler’s estimate at 62 million deaths a year – we would have 62,000,000×30yrs=1,860,000,000 deaths in 30yrs, bringing the differential at 140,000,000 deaths in 30yrs.

These numbers are no where near their two billion estimate. The same mathematical proceedures can be applied to their 11 billion estimate for 2100. Again, I repeat, “Overpopulation is a myth, and so is the myth of life expectancy.”  Since overpopulation and life expectancies are myths, then in no uncertain terms is the argument for abortion, as it relates to curbing the Earth’s current population growth and its environmental, social and economic problems, a myth also. A myth based upon various fallacies.